Conditional Probability
Conditional Probability: Overview
This topic covers concepts, such as, Independent and Dependent Events, Independency of Three or More Events, Conditional Probability, Properties of Conditional Probability & Multiplication Rule of Probability etc.
Important Questions on Conditional Probability
A signal which can be green or red with probability and respectively, is received by station A and then transmitted to station B. The probability of each station receiving the signal correctly is If the signal received at station B is green, then the probability that the original signal was green is:

Let denote the complement of an event . Let be pairwise independent events with and . Then equals

One Indian and four American men and their wives are to be seated randomly around a circular table. Then the conditional probability that the Indian man is seated adjacent to his wife given each American man is seated adjacent to his wife is:

Two fair dice are rolled. Let be the event that the first die shows an even number and be the event that the second die shows an odd number. The two events and are:

Suppose that
Box-I contains red, blue and green balls,
Box-ll contains red, blue and green balls,
Box-III contains blue, green and yellow balls,
Box-IV contains green, orange and white balls.
A ball is chosen randomly from Box-l; call this ball . If is red then a ball is chosen randomly from Box-ll, if is blue then a ball is chosen randomly from Box-III, and if is green then a ball is chosen randomly from Box-IV. The conditional probability of the event 'one of the chosen balls is white' given that the event 'at least one of the chosen balls is green' has happened, is equal to

Four persons draw cards from an ordinary pack. If the chance that a card is of each suit is and the chance that no two cards are of equal value is then the value of

A bag initially contains one red and two blue balls. An experiment consisting of selecting a ball at random, noting its colour and replacing it together with an additional ball of the same colour. If three such trials are made, then:

and alternately throw a pair of dice. wins if he throws a sum before throws sum and wins if he throws a sum before throws sum . If starts the game, then

A fair coin is tossed three times and the following events are considered
toss and toss produce different out comes
toss and toss produce different out comes
toss and toss produce different out comes Then

and try to hit a target. The probability that hits the target is and the probability that hits the target is If these two events are independent, the probability that hits the target, given that the target is hit, is

If and are two independent events such that and then is equal to

Jake and Elisa are given a mathematics problem. The probability that Jake can solve it is . If Jake has solved it, the probability that Elisa can solve it is . Otherwise, the probability that Elisa can solve it is . Draw a tree diagram to illustrate the above question, showing clearly the probabilities on each branch. Find the probability that at least one of the students can solve the problem.

Jake and Elisa are given a mathematics problem. The probability that Jake can solve it is . If Jake has solved it, the probability that Elisa can solve it is . Otherwise, the probability that Elisa can solve it is . Draw a tree diagram to illustrate the above question, showing clearly the probabilities on each branch. Find the probability that Jake solves the problem, given than Elisa has.

Jake and Elisa are given a mathematics problem. The probability that Jake can solve it is . If Jake has solved it, the probability that Elisa can solve it is . Otherwise, the probability that Elisa can solve it is . Draw a tree diagram to illustrate the above question, showing clearly the probabilities on each branch.

The Venn diagram illustrates the number of students taking each of the three sciences: physics, chemistry and biology.
A student is randomly chosen from the group.
Find the probability that the student studies physics, given that they study chemistry. (Write answer in simplest fraction form)

A box contains four blue balls and three green balls. Judith and Gilles play a game with each taking it in turn to take a ball from the box, without replacement. The first player to take a green ball is the winner. Judith plays first. Find the probability that she wins. The game is now changed so that the ball chosen is replaced after each turn. Judith still plays first. Determine whether the probability of Judith winning has changed.

A box contains four blue balls and three green balls. Judith and Gilles play a game with each taking it in turn to take a ball from the box, without replacement. The first player to take a green ball is the winner. Judith plays first. Find the probability that she wins.

Hamid must drive through three sets of traffic lights in order to reach his place of work. The probability that the first set of lights is green is . The probability that the second set of lights is green is . The probability that the third set of lights is green is . It may be assumed that the probability of any set of lights being green is independent of the others. Find the probability that at least one set of lights will be green.

Hamid must drive through three sets of traffic lights in order to reach his place of work. The probability that the first set of lights is green is . The probability that the second set of lights is green is . The probability that the third set of lights is green is . It may be assumed that the probability of any set of lights being green is independent of the others.Given that first set of light is red and (i.e. not green), find the probability that the following two pairs of lights will be green.

Hamid must drive through three sets of traffic lights in order to reach his place of work. The probability that the first set of lights is green is . The probability that the second set of lights is green is . The probability that the third set of lights is green is . It may be assumed that the probability of any set of lights being green is independent of the others. Find the probability that only one set of light is green.
